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2011 Predictions

So....I used to keep a LiveJournal where I would post my predictions for the year, and then grade myself one year later. Now that LiveJournal is dying and I've mostly moved to my new blog, I'd like to...

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Mistake!

This video came to mind just a little while ago:Why? Because I read this in the Trib.President Barack Obama is considering naming William Daley, a JPMorgan Chase & Co. executive and former U.S....

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URGENT They're running out of medicine in Cairo

Reports are trickling in through Twitter that the hospitals and pharmacies are running out of medicine needed to treat the wounded. Appeals are going out to the Egyptian military, the International Red...

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A tale of two Egypts

The cameras have, for the most part, turned away from the spectacle in Egypt. Mubarak is, of course, gone. The protests haven't completely died down but most of them have faded away (and the ones that...

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Economy improving, but slowing down thanks to oil.

The good news: at last, the job market is improving enough for people to notice. USA Today reports:Employers plan to hire 19.3% more recent graduates this year, says a report by the National...

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The Weiner Smear, or, why Gennette Cordova should lawyer up and sue Breitbart.

One thing I learned fast in politics is that if your opponents, particularly Republican opponents, don't have real dirt on you, they will go to great lengths to manufacture fake dirt. This is precisely...

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RIGHT NOW: Mass Arrests of OccupyChicago in Grant Park. Livestream. (Edit:...

OccupyChicago is standing off against the Chicago Police Department in Grant Park. The Occupation plans to stay in Grant Park in order to express their dissatisfaction at the growing plutocracy....

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2011 Prediction Scorecard

Every year since 2002 (although I have only started doing this on DailyKos last year), I have made a series of predictions about the coming year; every year since 2003, I have scored myself on how I...

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My predictions for 2012

I just gave you my scorecard for my predictions for 2011; if you missed them, you can find them on LiveJournal or on DailyKos. Now, I present my predictions for 2012. As usual, I'll grade myself on...

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Ben Nelson Retires

Earlier today I posted my prediction that the Democrats would barely hold on to the Senate. Ben Nelson of Nebraska must have seen my analysis, because he's hanging it up.The 70-year-old conservative...

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Things I wish President Obama would say in his State of the Union Address.

Dear President Obama,I know you're busy writing tonight's State of the Union address, the talking points for which are here, but I thought I might offer a few suggestions for things you'd want to add....

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Iranian Oil Industry Hit by Cyber-Attack

Someone really doesn't like Iranian industry. Quoting Slashdot:"Iran disconnected computer systems at a number of its oil facilities in response to a cyber attack that hit multiple industry targets...

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34 Things Every Man Should Know by Age 30 (In praise of Jade Sylvan)

I've been pondering Jade Sylvan's impressive list 30 Things Every Woman Should Know by Age 30. Mostly, I wish I had a list like this for myself when I was in my twenties. So why not make one?For the...

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Why I'm cracking up at Tea Party nonsense over Dick Lugar.

Right now I'm cracking up at the Tea Party telling themselves that Liberals just LURV Senator Dick Lugar (R-IN) over Koch Brothers puppet Richard Mourlock. For example:"This is whats going to happen:...

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An Open Letter to the DNC re: the Wisconsin Recall.

Dear considerate folks at the Democratic National Committee,I was interested to read your fundraising letter this morning:maxomai -- Picture this:It's the morning of June 4th. You head to the airport...

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2012 Predictions Check-in

If you recall, my predictions for 2012, made in December 2011, were as follows - you can get the reasoning behind each one at the original diary. They are:Barack Obama will be re-elected to a second...

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Romney Campaign concedes Florida

Via the ThinkProgress Twitter feed comes this Miami Herald Story:Romney campaign: We lost Florida President Obama will win Florida when all votes are counted, judging from the makeup of the ballots...

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WHAT HAPPENED TO MY KPOJ!?! (A Primer)

Q: So I turned on my radio, which is tuned to KPOJ, and instead of Carl in the Morning I have this Fox Sports bullshit. What the fuck?A: Yes, I thought you might wonder about that. What happened is...

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2012 Prediction Scorecard

A year ago - December 27, 2011 - I gave my predictions for what would happen in 2012. Unlike most other political pundits, however, I score myself on my predictions a year later.My predictions for last...

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2013 predictions

I just gave you my scorecard for my predictions for 2012; if you missed it, you can find it here. Now, I present my predictions for 2013. As usual, I'll grade myself on these a year from now -- but...

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What it takes

Ladies and gents,We now know what it takes to get the Right pissed off about our government assassinating American citizens.It takes the government threatening to take their assault rifles.Wherein they...

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Tactical blunders doom universal background checks

I think we all agree that the people who won the gun control debate, at least this time, were the paranoid wing of the gun rights side.I consider myself in the rational wing of the gun rights side, and...

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The debt crisis isn't anywhere near over

In fact, it's just beginning.Those of us who have been around a while may remember Bonddad and New Deal Democrat. They started their own blog a while ago, and are now live-blogging the financial...

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2013 Predictions Scorecard

Last December, I gave you my predicions for 2013. Unlike most prognosticators, I try to hold myself accountable each year. This year, I can score myself relatively early, because enough stuff has...

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2014 Predictions

I just gave you my scorecard for my predictions for 2013; if you missed it, you can find it here. Now, I present my predictions for 2014. As usual, I'll grade myself on these a year from now -- but...

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BREAKING: Virginia Anti Same-Sex Marriage Law Struck Down

I can't believe I'm the first one here writing about this:Today, U.S. District Judge Arenda Wright Allen ruled that Virginia’s ban on marriage for lesbian and gay couples is unconstitutional in the...

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Sierra Leone VP Quarantined for Ebola Virus

In case you were wondering, Ebola is still a thing, and it's still tearing West Africa apart. The latest manifestation of this is the Vice President of Sierra Leone putting himself in voluntary...

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Liberia's last Ebola patient released from hospital

To quote the Vice President, this is a Big F'n Deal:The last Ebola patient in Liberia was released from a hospital Thursday, according to media reports. Beatrice Yardolo, 58, was discharged from the...

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2016 Presidential Cattle Call, Republican Edition

Have we started doing cattle calls yet? If not, then I think it's high time. The Democratic field isn't so crowded, but the Republican field is, and with the primaries coming up fast, I think it's time...

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2016 Presidential Cattle Call, Democratic Edition

Saturday I went over the 2016 Repubican Presidential Primary Candidates, mostly by dividing them into tiers. The Democratic field is easier because it's smaller, having only five candidates of note. I...

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Predictions for 2017

Today is a start of sorts for me, one a long time coming. I have started a blog on Medium. My old blog was on LiveJournal, and you can see how I did on my predictions for 2016 if you like. It is also,...

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Chicago Review of Books boycotts Simon & Schuster over hate

Today it was discovered that publisher Simon & Schuster inked a $250,000 book deal with pinkwashed white supremacist Milo Yiannopoulos. xSimon & Schuster give leading white nationalist $250K...

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Judge blocks lame duck session law stripping Dem NC Gov-Elect Roy Cooper of...

AP reporting:A North Carolina judge is temporarily blocking a new Republican-backed law that strips the incoming Democratic governor of his control over election boards just before he takes office.Wake...

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Good Morning Daily Kos, Weekend Edition (NYE 2016)

tap tap tapIs this on? Is this on?The events of the last year have been...less than happy making. But now the year is over. And with the change of years, and the change of seasons, come new beginnings....

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House GOP getting ready to gut Office of Congressional Ethics, bring back K...

CNN broke the story about 30 minutes ago that the House GOP is about to vote to significantly weaken the Office of Congressional Ethics. Quoting:Republican Virginia Rep. Bob Goodlatte’s proposal would...

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How is Democratic energy in red areas, post-election?

I have a question for the rest of DKos. Has there been an influx of Democratic energy and organizing in areas that went for Trump?I ask because I’m seeing a lot of energy in the Democratic strongholds,...

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The Most Important Thing in the World (a poem by Nick Mamatas)

The Most Important Thing in the WorldThe Most Important Thing in the WorldThe most important thing in the world isn’t a viscous black ocean or a million dead children. The most important thing in the...

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Debate Watch Parties in the Portland and Salem, OR areas

Live in Portland or Salem? Eager for a debate watch party? You’re in luck! The Gun Owners’ Caucus of the Democratic Party of Oregon is proud to announce that they are co-sponsoring TWO watch parties...

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2019 Predictions Scorecard!

One of the parts of The McLaughlin Group that I enjoy every week, and at the end of every year, is that they make predictions. One of the things that I don’t like is that they aren’t held to account...

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2020 Predictions!

Every year, I like to make predictions as to how the year will go. At the end of the year, I like to grade myself. You can see my 2019 predictions here and my scoring on my 2019 predictions here....

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A Poem about Far Right Rallies in the Age of COVID-19

Once it was “We’re here overtaxed too”Then it was “Show your respect for the Blue!”Now it’s “time for the big Bugaloo!”Soon t’will be “Drat, I got SARS-CoV-2!”(Achoo!)

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Multnomah (OR) Dems respond to vandalism at their HQ: "Broken windows are...

Last night a crowd of 60-100 people broke some windows at the Headquarters of the Multnomah County Democrats. You can see photos of the damage in the link. I was there helping to clean up and move...

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2020 Predictions Scorecard

One of the parts of The McLaughlin Group that I enjoy every week, and at the end of every year, is that they make predictions. One of the things that I don’t like is that they aren’t held to account...

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2021 Predictions!

Every year, I like to make predictions as to how the year will go. At the end of the year, I like to grade myself. You can see my 2020 predictions here and my scoring on my 2020 predictions here....

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Dear Mitch McConnell

BwahahahahahahahahahahahahahaBwahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahah...

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My end-of-term remarks as a Multnomah County Democratic Party officer

Last night I delivered the following remarks at the Central Committee meeting of the Democratic Party of Multnomah County. I am reaching the end of my two-year term as the Multnomah Democrats’ 2nd Vice...

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Mid-Year Follow-up on my 2021 Predictions

Every year, I like to make predictions as to how the year will go. At the end of the year, I like to grade myself. You see, unlike many of the media prognosticators out there, such as the folks in The...

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2021 Predictions Scorecard

One of the parts of The McLaughlin Group that I enjoy every week, and at the end of every year, is that they make predictions. One of the things that I don’t like is that they aren’t held to account...

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Predictions for 2022

Every year, I like to make predictions as to how the year will go. At the end of the year, I like to grade myself. You can see my 2021 predictions here and my scoring on my 2021 predictions here.Today...

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My 2022 Predictions Scorecard - and an announcement

When I still watched The McLaughlin Group — before I realized what a tire fire it actually was — I used to especially enjoy their weekly, and annual, predictions. One of the things that I didn’t like...

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