I just gave you my scorecard for my predictions for 2011; if you missed them, you can find them on LiveJournal or on DailyKos. Now, I present my predictions for 2012. As usual, I'll grade myself on these a year from now -- but feel free to print them out or save a PDF to keep me honest!
- Barack Obama will be re-elected to a second term as President.
- John Boehner will be ousted as Speaker of the House.
- Democrats will just barely hold on to the US Senate
- The US unemployment rate will dip below 8%.
- The European Union will hold on .. barely.
- Inflation will remain below 10%.
- Protest movements in the US, Russia, Europe and MENA will accelerate.
- The US will substantially reduce its troop presence in Afghanistan.
- Oregon will win the Rose Bowl.
What follows after the jump is my reasoning behind each of these predictions: